The current forecast date is 05 September, showing data until 08 September.
The following Trusts/UTLAs make forecasts of hospital admissions using timeseries forecasts of COVID-19 cases (rather than EpiNow2, by default): Frimley Health NHS Foundation Trust (UTLA: Buckinghamshire), Royal Cornwall Hospitals NHS Trust (UTLA: Cornwall), University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust (UTLAs: Southampton, Hampshire), Portsmouth Hospitals University National Health Service Trust (UTLA: Hampshire), University Hospitals Of North Midlands NHS Trust (UTLA: Staffordshire), University Hospitals Plymouth NHS Trust (UTLA: Cornwall), Bolton NHS Foundation Trust (UTLA: Bolton), Hampshire Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (UTLA: Hampshire), Kettering General Hospital NHS Foundation Trust (UTLA: Northamptonshire), Northampton General Hospital NHS Trust (UTLA: Northamptonshire), University Hospitals Of Derby And Burton NHS Foundation Trust (UTLA: Staffordshire), Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (UTLA: Oxfordshire), Buckinghamshire Healthcare NHS Trust (UTLA: Buckinghamshire)
The main forecasting model is an unweighted ensemble of three individual models:
covid19.nhs.data)All models are trained on the last 6 weeks of data (from 25 July) and forecasts are made for the following 14 days.
Note: for clarity, we only show forecasts for Trusts which have admitted five or more patients in the last 7 days.